Federal Reserve Chairwoman Logan said Tuesday she is "cautiously optimistic" that the Fed's current policy rate level can keep the labor market stable while pushing inflation back to the 2% target, a judgment that will be tested by economic data in the coming months. "If that happens, it would show that our current policy stance is appropriate and that we don't need to cut rates further to achieve our dual mandate," Logan said. However, she added that if inflation falls while the labor market cools significantly, "another rate cut might become appropriate. Right now, though, I'm more concerned that inflation remains stubbornly high." She said that after three rate cuts last year, downside risks to the labor market "seem to have eased significantly," but this has also introduced additional risks to inflation. She noted that with short-term borrowing costs already in what is widely considered a "neutral" policy range, current interest rates have limited restraining effect on the already strong economic rebound and inflation that has been consistently above the Fed's target for nearly five years. Logan expects inflation to make progress this year, with some initial signs of improvement already seen.

According to AXIOS, Trump said in an interview on Tuesday that he is considering sending another carrier strike group to the Middle East in preparation for possible military action should negotiations with Iran fail. The US and Iran resumed talks in Oman last Friday, marking their first return to the negotiating table since June of last year. However, Trump is simultaneously pushing forward with a large-scale military buildup in the Gulf region. Trump stated that he expects a second round of US-Iran talks to be held next week. He said, "We have one fleet heading to the region, and another might be heading there too." A US official confirmed that discussions have indeed taken place regarding the deployment of a second carrier strike group to the region. However, Trump also expressed optimism about a diplomatic approach, saying that Iran "very much wants a deal" and, under military pressure, is more serious about negotiations than ever before. "Last time they didn't believe I was really going to do it, and they misjudged the situation. This time the negotiations are very different."

Ahead of Coinbase's upcoming Q4 earnings report, JPMorgan lowered its price target for Coinbase from $399 to $290, citing factors including declining crypto trading volume, weaker asset prices, and slower USDC growth. However, the bank maintained its "Overweight" rating on Coinbase. Analysts expect Coinbase's adjusted EBITDA for the quarter to fall to approximately $734 million, a significant decline from the previous quarter, primarily due to reduced spot trading volume and weaker stablecoin-related revenue. JPMorgan projects spot trading volume of approximately $263 billion and stablecoin-related revenue of approximately $312 million for the quarter. While the acquisition of the derivatives exchange Deribit will contribute new revenue, the overall market downturn continues to put pressure on performance. Besides JPMorgan, institutions such as Barclays and Compass Point are also more cautious, believing that retail trading, blockchain rewards, and subscription and service revenue may fall short of expectations and remain highly dependent on the overall performance of the crypto market.

Braden John Karony, the former CEO of SafeMoon, who has already been convicted, has been sentenced to 100 months (approximately 8 years) in prison, ordered to pay $7.5 million in restitution, and have two properties forfeited. Prosecutors accused Karony and accomplices of illegally obtaining millions of dollars from the SafeMoon project by manipulating the price of the token and liquidity pools, using the funds to purchase luxury homes, cars, and other personal luxuries. After a three-week trial, Karony was found guilty of multiple federal charges, including conspiracy to commit securities fraud, wire fraud, and money laundering. Among those involved in the case, conspirator Thomas Smith pleaded guilty in February 2025 but has not yet been sentenced, while another person involved, Kyle Nagy, remains at large. U.S. prosecutors stated that they will continue to strengthen enforcement against digital asset economic crimes that harm investors' interests. (Coindesk)

In an interview with CNBC, Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of Strategy (MSTR), stated that market concerns about the company being forced to sell BTC due to the decline in Bitcoin prices were "unfounded," and reiterated the company's continued long-term strategy of accumulating Bitcoin. Saylor stated that Strategy's current net leverage level is lower than that of typical investment-grade companies, its balance sheet has no credit risk, and the company not only has no plans to sell, but also expects to "continue buying Bitcoin every quarter." Last week, Strategy purchased 1,142 BTC for approximately $90 million, bringing its total holdings to 714,644 BTC, with an average cost of approximately $76,056. He pointed out that Bitcoin's high volatility is both a risk and a characteristic, and believes that as "digital capital," it is expected to outperform traditional assets over the next 4 to 8 years. Previously, Strategy reported an operating loss of $17.4 billion and a net loss of $12.6 billion in the fourth quarter, primarily due to book valuation adjustments caused by the decline in Bitcoin prices. (Coindesk)

Former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF), who has already been sentenced, is seeking a retrial. His mother recently filed an application in New York federal court, arguing that new evidence has emerged and the fraud charges should be reopened. SBF is currently pursuing the application in his own defense. According to legal procedures, he must prove substantial new evidence sufficient to influence the original verdict in order to have a chance of a retrial. SBF was previously sentenced to 25 years in prison for the FTX collapse and has consistently challenged the verdict through appeals. His previous defense emphasized that FTX was not entirely insolvent at the time of its collapse, but the appeals court judge pointed out that the core issue was whether customer funds were misappropriated and investors were misled, rather than whether the company was insolvent. Furthermore, US President Trump recently stated that he will not consider granting SBF a pardon.

Polymarket traders have assessed the likelihood of China legalizing onshore Bitcoin purchases by the end of 2026 at a mere 5%. According to NS3.AI, Beijing's regulatory framework established in February 2026 has reinforced strict prohibitions on cryptocurrency activities, including onshore trading, banking facilitation, and stablecoin issuance. While Hong Kong has been experimenting with regulatory measures such as Bitcoin ETFs and stablecoin licensing, mainland China continues to uphold a stringent ban on renminbi-to-Bitcoin conversions and the legalization of crypto mining. This firm stance reflects China's cautious approach to cryptocurrency regulation, despite regional variations in policy.

Zillow has projected its first-quarter profit to be below analyst expectations. Bloomberg posted on X that the home-search company is managing legal expenses from ongoing litigation and costs associated with its partnership with Redfin. This financial outlook reflects the challenges Zillow faces in balancing operational expenses while navigating legal complexities. The company's strategic collaboration with Redfin is part of its broader efforts to enhance its market position, despite the financial pressures it currently encounters.

Bitcoin's performance in August is anticipated to remain stable despite significant economic events. Bespoke Investment Group posted on X, highlighting the cryptocurrency's resilience in the face of potential market fluctuations. The analysis suggests that Bitcoin's stability could be attributed to its growing acceptance and integration into mainstream financial systems. The report from Bespoke Investment Group emphasizes the importance of monitoring key economic indicators that could influence Bitcoin's market behavior. These include interest rate decisions, inflation data, and geopolitical developments, which are expected to play a crucial role in shaping the cryptocurrency's trajectory. Experts from Bespoke Investment Group note that while Bitcoin has historically shown volatility, its recent performance indicates a trend towards steadiness. This shift is seen as a positive sign for investors who are increasingly viewing Bitcoin as a viable asset class. The analysis also points out that Bitcoin's stability could be bolstered by institutional investments and regulatory advancements, which are contributing to its legitimacy and acceptance in the financial sector. As Bitcoin continues to evolve, its role in the global economy is likely to expand, offering new opportunities for investors and businesses alike. Overall, Bespoke Investment Group's insights provide a comprehensive overview of Bitcoin's potential performance in August, underscoring the importance of staying informed about economic developments that could impact the cryptocurrency market.

Lyft has announced an unexpected operating loss of $185 million for the fourth quarter. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting the company's disappointing earnings forecast for the beginning of the year. The ride-sharing service's financial results have raised concerns among investors, as the loss was unforeseen and the outlook for the upcoming quarter appears bleak. Lyft's performance contrasts with market expectations, prompting analysts to reassess their projections for the company's future growth. The announcement has sparked discussions about the challenges facing the ride-sharing industry, including increased competition and regulatory hurdles. Lyft's management is expected to address these issues in upcoming investor calls, as they seek to reassure stakeholders and outline strategies for recovery.

It is worth noting that while the transaction volume is expanding rapidly, the forecasting market still faces significant challenges in terms of infrastructure security, compliance consistency, and long-term sustainability.

Bitcoin has become integrated into global capital markets in a highly complex way, and when we face a reverse squeeze in the future, the upward trend will be steeper than ever before.

Don't fall into the trap of "anonymous consumption": Exposing the inescapable regulatory rules and life cycle of "KYC-free encrypted cards".

RWA involves the intersection of law, finance, and cryptocurrency, and no one has yet fully mastered it. That's the key point.

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Faced with historical lessons that have triggered sharp fluctuations in the repurchase market, this potential new central bank leader must carefully weigh the balance between shrinking the balance sheet and maintaining financial stability.

The road leading to Mar-a-Lago has been renamed "Donald J. Trump Avenue," a symbol of Trump's personal influence.

Let me try to explain what's happening, why it's important, and the R&D progress up to today.

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