BNP Paribas has lowered its forecast for a U.S. interest rate cut this year. The bank now believes the Fed will cut interest rates by 75 basis points by the end of December, in line with market pricing of 74 basis points and below its previous forecast of 150 basis points. Camille de Courcel, head of European interest rate strategy at the bank, said: “The risks will be more towards U.S. economic growth remaining strong and resilient, while Europe may take more time to really feel the rebound in economic growth. This will cause the dollar to be more stable in the short term. Stronger." The bank also believes that if the Republican Party achieves a comprehensive victory, the U.S. dollar will face the upside risks brought by the U.S. election, the prospects for continued U.S. economic growth, and the continued arbitrage appeal of the U.S. dollar.