Haseeb Qureshi, managing partner of Dragonfly, published his predictions for cryptocurrency in 2025 on X, which are divided into six parts: L1/L2, token issuance, stablecoins, regulation, AI agents, and crypto-AI integration, as follows:
1. L1/L2
- The distinction between L1 and L2 is disappearing. Users can no longer perceive the difference between L1 and L2 (have they ever perceived it?). The blockchain field (L1 and L2 combined) is already too crowded and is about to undergo a major reshuffle. Consolidation will no longer be about technological superiority, but about owning a unique niche and building stickiness through GTM;
- Despite the strength of SVM and Move, EVM market share will grow in 2025, driven by Base, Monad and Berachain;
- Solana will force more blockchains to optimize for low latency, and we will shift from a TPS war to a latency war;
2. Token Release
- The current meta of everyone doing a lot of airdrops through point programs is over, and we are moving towards a two-track world:
- Track 1: If a project has a clear North Star metric, they will distribute tokens based entirely on points;
- Track 2: Projects without a clear North Star metric (such as L1 and L2) will turn to crowdfunding, they may do small-scale airdrops to reward social contributions, but most tokens will be distributed through crowdfunding;
- Meme coins will continue to cede market share to "AI agent" tokens, which I think is a shift from financial nihilism to financial over-optimism;
3. Stablecoins
- The use of stablecoins will surge, especially among small and medium-sized enterprises. Not just trading and speculation, real businesses will start using on-chain dollars for instant settlement;
-Banks take note: expect to see announcements of bank-issued stablecoins by the end of 2025, they don’t want to be left behind. But especially with Lutnick as Secretary of Commerce, Tether will remain number one;
-Expect Ethena Labs to attract more capital, especially as Treasury yields continue to fall over the coming year;
4. Regulation
-The US passes stablecoin legislation while broader market infrastructure reform (FIT21) is delayed. Stablecoin adoption accelerates while Wall Street adoption, asset tokenization, and other TradFi integrations lag behind;
-Under Trump, Fortune 100 companies will be more willing to offer cryptocurrencies to consumers, with tech companies and startups showing a higher appetite for risk. Trump’s inauguration will create a noticeable regulatory extravaganza until clear rules and enforcement priorities are set. In the interim, expect cryptocurrency integration to expand aggressively to Web2 platforms;
5. AI Agents
-The “AI Agent” craze may last until 2025, but it will eventually die down. This isn’t a long-term disruptive force for AI to watch out for, but it will be a focus for CT because it’s the most social;
- These things aren’t really agents, but chatbots with Meme coins attached; they have almost no agent functionality other than posting on X. Most of the current “AI agents” also have humans behind the scenes to ensure that the AI doesn’t get out of control. This won’t change anytime soon because current agents are too unstable (even Fortune 100 companies aren’t using agents in production yet);
6. De facto cryptocurrency combined with AI
- AI having an impact on cryptocurrency is the main direction, but cryptocurrency will also have an impact on AI;
- Truly autonomous agents will pay each other with cryptocurrency. Once there are loose stablecoin regulations, you’ll start to see even large companies running AI agents using stablecoins for agent-to-agent payments because they’re easier to start than bank accounts;
- We’ll also see more and larger decentralized training and reasoning experiments;
- Another area where cryptocurrency and AI will intersect is user experience. Post-AI wallets will revolutionize, AI-powered wallets should be able to handle bridging, optimize transaction routing, minimize fees for you, mask interoperability issues or front-end errors, and keep you away from obvious scams or fraud. You won't have to switch back and forth between multiple different wallets, change RPCs, or rebalance your stablecoins. This may not become reliable enough to change the user experience of cryptocurrency until 2026.
-It's still early in this space, and in the long run (say mid-2026), expect this to be where most of the "AI x crypto" market cap will be.