The United States equity markets are attempting a recovery after weeks of relentless selling. Along similar lines, on-chain monitoring resource Material Indicators expects the crypto market to recover, but they anticipate Bitcoin (BTC) to spend some time in a range before “a real breakout.”
The seven-day moving average of the on-chain transaction volume tracked by Glassnode hit a nine-month low on May 23. This suggests that Bitcoin’s lackluster price action in 2022 has led to reduced participation from traders.
While signs of a short-term recovery are visible, a sustained recovery could be difficult because the macro conditions remain challenging. The International Monetary Fund managing director Kristalina Georgieva wrote in a blog post that the global economy is witnessing its “biggest test since the Second World War.”
Could Bitcoin and altcoins overcome their immediate resistance levels and start a relief rally? Let’s study the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin held the $28,630 support on May 20, indicating that bulls are buying at lower levels. The buyers have pushed the price above the downtrend line, which is the first sign of a recovery.
If buyers sustain the price above the downtrend line, the BTC/USDT pair could rally to the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($31,758). The bears are likely to defend the 20-day EMA aggressively because a break and close above it could clear the path for a possible rally to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $34,823.
Alternatively, if the price turns down from the current level or the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The bears will have to sink the price below $28,630 to clear the path for a possible retest of the crucial support at $26,700.
Ether (ETH) bounced off the uptrend line on May 21, indicating that bulls are buying the dips to this level. The buyers will now try to push the price to the overhead resistance at $2,159 where the bears may pose a strong challenge.
If the price turns down from the overhead resistance, it could drop to the uptrend line. This is an important level to keep an eye on in the short term. If the price rebounds off the uptrend line, it could enhance the prospects of a break above $2,159. If that happens, the ETH/USDT pair could attempt a rally to $2,500.
On the other hand, if the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance and breaks below the uptrend line, it will suggest that the pair may remain stuck between $2,159 and $1,700 for a few days.
The bulls have pushed Binance Coin (BNB) above the 20-day EMA ($324), which is the first sign that the downtrend may have ended.
If buyers sustain the price above the 20-day EMA, the BNB/USDT pair could rally to $350 and later to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA)($374). The bears may again attempt to stall the up-move in this zone. If the price turns down from this zone but rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will increase the possibility of a break above the 50-day SMA.
This bullish view will be invalidated in the short term if the price turns down and breaks below $320. That would indicate selling by the bears at higher levels. The pair could then gradually drop to $286.
Ripple (XRP) is attempting a recovery after the bulls successfully defended the immediate support at $0.38 on May 19. The buyers will now try to push the price to the 20-day EMA ($0.47).
The downsloping moving averages and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that bears have the upper hand. The sellers will attempt to defend the 20-day EMA with vigor. If that happens, the XRP/USDT pair could turn down from the overhead resistance and drop to the strong support at $0.38.
Conversely, if bulls push the price above the 20-day EMA, it could suggest a possible change in the short-term trend. The pair could then rise to the overhead zone between $0.50 and $0.55, which may act as a major obstacle.
On the downside, the bears will have to sink and sustain the price below $0.38 to open the doors for a possible retest of the May 12 intraday low at $0.33.
The bulls successfully defended the psychological level at $0.50 in the past few days, indicating demand at lower levels. The buyers will now try to push Cardano (ADA) above the 20-day EMA ($0.60).
If they succeed, the ADA/USDT pair could attempt a rally to the breakdown level of $0.74. The bears are likely to pose a stiff challenge at this level. If bulls arrest the subsequent decline at the 20-day EMA, it will suggest a change in sentiment from selling on rallies to buying on dips.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that bears continue to sell on rallies. The bears will then try to pull the price below $0.50 and retest the crucial support at $0.40.
The bulls purchased the dip to $47 on May 20 and are attempting to push Solana (SOL) toward the 20-day EMA ($61). The bears are expected to defend this level aggressively.
If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, the SOL/USDT pair could drop to $47 where the bulls will attempt to stall the decline. If that happens, the pair may trade between $47 and $60 for a few days.
A break and close above the 20-day EMA will be the first indication that the bulls are back in the game. The pair could then rally to the breakdown level at $75. Alternatively, if the price turns down and breaks below $47, the pair could slide to the strong support at $37.
Dogecoin (DOGE) is consolidating in a downtrend. The bulls defended the $0.08 support in the past few days and are attempting to push the price to the overhead resistance at $0.10.
If the price turns down from $0.10, it will suggest that bears are trying to flip this level into resistance. If they succeed, the DOGE/USDT pair could continue its range-bound action for a few more days.
The buyers will have to propel the price above $0.10 to suggest that the downtrend may be weakening. The pair could then rally to $0.12.
Alternatively, if the price turns down from the current level and breaks below $0.08, the pair could retest the critical support at $0.06.
Related: Monero enters 'overbought' danger zone after XMR price gains 75% in two weeks
The bulls are attempting to push and sustain Polkadot (DOT) above the overhead resistance at $10.37. If they succeed, the price could rally to the 20-day EMA ($11.57).
The buyers will have to push the price above the 20-day EMA to indicate a potential change in the short-term trend. The DOT/USDT pair could then rally to the overhead resistance zone between $14 and $16 where the bears may mount a strong defense.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the trend remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. The bears will then try to pull the pair below $9.22 and retest the crucial support at $7.30.
Avalanche (AVAX) rebounded off the support line of the pennant, indicating that bulls are defending this level aggressively. The buyers will now try to push the price above the pennant.
If they manage to do that, the AVAX/USDT pair could rally to the 20-day EMA ($39). This is an important level to watch out for because the bears are expected to defend it with vigor.
If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA but does not re-enter the pennant, it will suggest a possible change in trend. The buyers will then again attempt to clear the overhead hurdle at the 20-day EMA and push the pair toward $51.
On the contrary, if the price turns down from the current level or the 20-day EMA and breaks below the support line, it will suggest that bears are active at higher levels. The pair could then slide to $23.
Shiba Inu (SHIB) is attempting to rise above the immediate resistance at $0.000013 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick suggests that bears are attempting to stall the rally.
If the price turns down from the current level, the SHIB/USDT pair could spend some more time inside the range between $0.000010 and $0.000014. The next trending move could start after the price breaks above or below the range.
If buyers propel the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.000014), the pair could attempt a rally to $0.000017. This level could again act as a stiff resistance.
Alternatively, if the price turns down and breaks below $0.000010, the pair could slide to $0.000009. This is an important level to keep an eye on because if it cracks, the next stop could be $0.000005.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.
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