Greeks.live macro researcher Adam released a list of major events next week (10/14-10/20):
There will still be intensive speeches from Federal Reserve officials next week, but the market's expectations for the next rate cut are relatively unified, and this information has limited impact on the market.
The election is approaching, and the market needs more election information to make a decision. Currently, polls show that Harris's approval rating is 2% higher, while Polymarket shows that Trump's approval rating is 10% higher. Crypto's innovation in the traditional world is still developing.
Important events next week:
Monday, October 14
2026 FOMC voting member and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari participated in an expert panel discussion (21:00)
Tuesday, October 15
Federal Reserve Board member Waller spoke on the economic outlook (03:00)
2024 FOMC voting member and San Francisco Fed President Daly spoke at an event hosted by New York University's Stern School of Business (23:30)
Wednesday, October 16
Federal Reserve Board member Kugler spoke (01:00)
UK September CPI (14:00)
Thursday, October 17
Eurozone September CPI (17:00)
ECB announces interest rate decision (20:15)
U.S. initial jobless claims for the week (20:30)
U.S. September retail sales monthly rate (20:30)
ECB President Lagarde holds a monetary policy press conference (20:45)
10/18 Friday
2026 FOMC voting member and Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari delivered a speech (22:00)
Crypto market outlook:
The crypto market is still volatile in October. Currently, the IV of Bitcoin's main term is at a medium level, and the IV before and after the election has also dropped significantly.