Messari co-founder Dan McArdle published his predictions for the next 20 years at X:
-AI will have a huge impact. Productivity will increase significantly, innovation will accelerate, and even help smart humans develop new physical theories.
But most humans will still:
-Work and get paid, cherish each other's time
-Form nuclear families
-Have children go to school and socialize with (human) friends
-Have the concept of "work" and "leisure" time
-Eat 3 meals a day and live in a house...
That is, without strong ASI (I am pessimistic about the development of ASI within 20 years), I don't think the "fundamentals" of humans/society will change. It will be the same type/level of change we have seen from no Internet to widely deployed connected smartphones in billions of people's pockets. "
In addition, it also said: "If you are in your 20s now, then this AI hype cycle may be the first large-scale hype cycle you have experienced. A few suggestions:
· Yes, AI will have a huge impact;
· But it will take longer than you think;
· Those who are bearish on AI are wrong (they are never right). ”
Ryan Watkins, co-founder of Syncracy Capital, commented: “How long do you expect this cycle to last?” McArdle said: “I don’t know, but in terms of bubbles, it is increasingly like the dot-com era around 1997-98.”