According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin's (BTC) stochastic RSI has recently shown a bullish cross, a technical indicator that has historically preceded significant price rebounds. The stochastic RSI measures momentum by comparing price movements to their range over a specified period, operating between 0 and 100. Values above 80 are considered overbought, while those below 20 are deemed oversold. A crossover of the blue %K line above the orange %D line from an oversold region suggests increasing upward momentum.
Historical patterns indicate that each time the weekly stochastic RSI made this bullish cross, Bitcoin experienced sharp price recoveries within three to five months, with average gains of around 56%. Notable rallies include a 90% increase from November 2022 lows, 92% gains in late 2023, and a 98% surge to Bitcoin's recent all-time high of approximately $110,000 in January 2025. If this pattern continues, Bitcoin could see another significant rise by July or August, aligning with previous stochastic RSI bullish crosses that resulted in substantial returns. Market analyst Merjin the Trader predicts Bitcoin's price could reach at least $120,000 if the stochastic RSI pattern unfolds as expected.
Further supporting Bitcoin's bullish outlook is its 50-week exponential moving average (EMA), currently around $77,230. This EMA has been a strong accumulation zone for traders since October 2023. However, if Bitcoin's price falls decisively below the 50-week EMA, it could target the next support level at the 200-week EMA, near $50,480, representing a potential 40% decline from current prices.
Additionally, global crypto hedge funds are increasing their Bitcoin exposure during the ongoing price correction, as indicated by the latest rolling 20-day beta to BTC, which has reached a four-month high. This suggests institutional investors are buying the dip, positioning themselves for potential upside. A beta above 1.0 indicates that hedge fund returns rise more than Bitcoin's price, while a beta below 1.0 means the fund moves less than Bitcoin. The current beta suggests hedge funds view the recent Bitcoin dip as a buying opportunity, reinforcing the $120,000 price outlook for summer 2025.
As reported by Cointelegraph, the $120,000+ target is gaining popularity for summer 2025. This article does not provide investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading decision involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research before making any decisions.
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