Odaily Planet Daily News Bitget Research Institute Chief Analyst Ryan Lee pointed out that as the market enters the second quarter, Bitcoin and Ethereum are facing the dual test of macro and technical factors. Currently, BTC fluctuates in the range of $80,000-$86,000, and ETH fluctuates in the range of $1,600-$2,200.
Previously, Trump's 25% tariff policy (to be implemented on Mexican and Canadian goods from April 2) has caused market concerns about the resumption of the trade war. The linkage between crypto assets and traditional markets has increased. The correlation between BTC and Nasdaq has reached 0.67. If the US stock market weakens in the future, it may drag on the crypto market.
ETF fund flows are also differentiated: BTC ETF continues to attract money, while ETH ETF funds continue to flow out, indicating that institutional preferences are tilting towards Bitcoin. Relevant data show that if ETH falls 20% from the current price, it will trigger more than $336 million in liquidations, mainly concentrated on DeFi lending platforms. ETH's high reliance on leveraged protocols may lead to chain selling pressure, and $1,600 becomes a key support level. Once it falls below, it may accelerate downward.