Traders' Assumption:
IntoTheBlock's analysis indicates that traders are operating under the assumption that Ethereum will be the next cryptocurrency to receive approval for a spot market ETF.
Ethereum's Outperformance:
Ethereum has significantly outperformed Bitcoin in the days following the fake approval of spot-based Bitcoin ETFs. The rise in Ethereum's price is seen as a sign of anticipation for the approval of spot market Ethereum ETF applications.
BlackRock and Other Applications:
Several entities, including BlackRock, have pending applications for Ethereum spot ETFs. The market appears to give high odds for the approval of these applications, considering the recent developments in the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs.
SEC's Approval Order:
IntoTheBlock notes that the SEC's approval order for spot Bitcoin ETFs may increase the likelihood of approval for spot Ethereum ETFs. The SEC's logic regarding fraud or manipulation impacting spot market prices may be applied similarly to Ethereum, especially since it already has a futures ETF.
Shift in Attention:
Traders are shifting their attention to Ethereum, anticipating the potential approval of spot ETFs as the next significant catalyst for the second-largest cryptocurrency.
ETH Price and Ecosystem Tokens:
Ethereum's price is currently around $2,564, showing a 13% increase since the start of the year. Traders are also favoring higher beta Ethereum-related investments, with layer-2 tokens and liquid staking protocols recording gains of over 10%.
Market Speculation:
The market is characterized by speculation around the potential approval of Ethereum ETFs and the resulting impact on Ethereum's price and related ecosystem tokens.
The analysis suggests that Ethereum is gaining attention and favor among traders, driven by expectations of regulatory approval for spot market ETFs, similar to the recent developments with Bitcoin.