Bitcoin's price fluctuated between $60,000 and $61,000 following the Federal Reserve’s 50bps interest rate cut on Wednesday. This decision surprised some market analysts, as many expected a more moderate 25bps reduction.
source：TradingView
The central bank’s revised dot-plot projections show further rate cuts amounting to 150bps by 2025, while inflation is forecast to drop towards 2.0%. Unemployment is expected to stabilise at its current level through 2026.
The combination of aggressive interest rate cuts, coupled with a generally optimistic economic outlook from the Federal Reserve, suggests a favourable environment for risk assets such as Bitcoin. Lower US yields and a weakening dollar may provide the ideal backdrop for BTC to target $70,000 in the coming weeks, assuming no sharp resurgence in recession fears. US Presidential election uncertainty, however, remains a potential headwind for broader market stability.
Following US Presidential elections, markets often rally as uncertainties dissipate. While Kamala Harris is slightly favoured to win, any Republican victory, including that of Donald Trump, is expected to result in a short-term market boost.
In the longer run, Harris’s potentially softer stance on crypto could bring about positive industry developments. Moreover, Bitcoin’s delayed halving effect may further support prices during the final quarter.
related reading：Steve Hanke Criticises Fed Policy and Kamala Harris’s Housing Plan
Though the current macroeconomic conditions are favourable for Bitcoin’s price trajectory, political uncertainty and other external factors may still impede a smooth rally towards $70,000. With a volatile landscape ahead, caution remains necessary for market participants.
related reading：North Carolina Bans Central Bank Digital Currencies: A Blow to Federal Reserve Plans
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