Tipping point: If BTC rises 3 times again

Original: Liu Jiaolian

This weekend, BTC withstood the challenges of various external events and successfully defended the 67k position. Jiaolian suddenly discovered an interesting arithmetic, that is, when BTC was at the 67k line, its market value was 1.3 trillion US dollars. If the BTC price is multiplied by 3, the market value will reach 3.9 trillion US dollars. This is a "trigger point" moment: because 3.9 trillion US dollars just exceeds the market value of Apple, the world's largest company by market value, which is 3.5 trillion US dollars.

BTC has become the world's highest-valued "company", a company with no boss, no employees, and no office, a company that has been immortal for thousands of years and has a long-lasting foundation, a company with huge cash flow and zero profit.

67,000 US dollars, multiplied by 3 is about 200,000 US dollars.

Satoshi Nakamoto is speculated to have mined and held 1.1 million BTC. If BTC rises three times from its current level, that is, to $200,000, then Satoshi Nakamoto's wealth will reach $220 billion, surpassing the world's second richest man, Tesla CEO Elon Musk's $210 billion, and the world's richest man Bernard Arnault's $220 billion.

It can be said that Satoshi Nakamoto will become the world's new richest man, and the first world's richest man born from the crypto industry.

The symbolic significance is huge. An industry can give birth to the world's richest man, indicating that this industry is a sunrise industry and will attract a large number of talents.

Although, most likely, Satoshi Nakamoto will not pay attention to this false name at all.

If BTC rises another 3 times to 200,000 USD, according to the estimation of USD:RMB = 7:1, you only need to own a little more than 7 BTC to achieve RMB-based A8 (multi-millionaire).

In other words, an A8 can be easily achieved by holding a single-digit BTC.

This is called, ten coins can be called a marquis.

According to data from 2023, the number of multi-millionaires in China (individuals with RMB 10 million or more) is about 2 million. 2 million out of 1.4 billion, 1.4 in a thousand, can be described as "one in a thousand".

And A9 (billionaires) will also require less than 100 BTC.

The number of billionaires in China is about 150,000. 150,000 out of 1.4 billion, 1 in 10,000, "one in a thousand".

If BTC rises three times again to $200,000, as long as you own 5 BTC, your net worth will reach $1 million, making you one of the world's millionaires.

As of 2023, the number of millionaires (individuals with $1 million or more) in the world is only about 60 million.

If each of these millionaires wants to own 1 BTC - please note that it is only 1 BTC, most of them cannot realize this wish: because the total upper limit of BTC is only 21 million, which is only one-third of the 60 million millionaires! In other words, even if they divide it equally, each person can only get about 1/3 BTC.

However, if BTC rises three times again to $200,000, is it already high and enough? No, it is far from enough.

Suppose Trump allows the US government to reserve 1 million BTC in accordance with the national BTC strategic reserve concept he has publicly talked about. Then when BTC reaches 200,000 US dollars, the value of these strategic reserves will be about 200 billion US dollars. Compared with the scale of US debt of up to 35 trillion US dollars, it is still a drop in the bucket: 200 billion US dollars is only enough to repay 5.7 thousandths of 35 trillion US dollars. This is still a long way from being able to "repay debts with BTC" as Trump said.

The above 3 times and 200,000 US dollars are not an unattainable number.

Of course, this is a static assumption. In actual situations, other US stock companies are also changing, so it may be other multiples and prices that can surpass US stocks.

This transcendence is likely to become the "trigger point" for BTC to enter the "early masses", and therefore become the turning point for BTC to enter the next stage of new growth.

In this round of bull market cycle, we will most likely see the arrival of this "trigger point" that is destined to attract global attention.