链上数据显示比特币交易费用指标的近期趋势可能表明加密货币现在正进入熊市后期阶段。
正如一位分析师在 CryptoQuant 中指出的那样邮政 ，BTC 费用指标可能表明熊市现在可能进入后期阶段。
这里的相关指标是“区块奖励费用”，它衡量的是比特币占总区块奖励的百分比交易费 .
当这个指标的值上升时，这意味着现在费用在矿工总奖励中所占的比例更高。
这可能表明网络中的活动正在增加。这种趋势通常发生在牛市 期间。
另一方面，该指标的下降趋势可能意味着区块链现在变得更加不活跃。该指标的低值通常出现在熊市期间。
现在，这是一张图表，显示了过去几年比特币区块奖励费用（30 天均线）的趋势：
看起来最近该指标的值一直在上涨 |来源：加密量化
在上图中，quant 标记了比特币费用到区块奖励指标的重要趋势区域。
似乎在牛市之前和期间，费用指标的价值历来都非常高。
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相反，该指标在熊市期间总是假设相当低的值。这两种趋势都符合预期。
在过去的几个月里，由于链上缺乏活动，费用仍然很低，该指标趋于低位。
然而，就在最近，交易费用的价值飙升，导致费用飙升以阻止奖励指标。
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过去熊市期间也曾出现过这种飙升，它们通常预示着熊市后期的开始。
如果这些以前的例子可以作为参考，那么当前指标的飙升也可能表明比特币现在正进入熊市后期。
在撰写本文时，比特币的价格 浮动在 3.16 万美元左右，在过去 7 天内上涨了 3%。下图显示了过去五天加密货币价格的趋势。
在过去的一天里，代币的价格似乎飙升了 |来源：TradingView 上的 BTCUSD
特色图片来自 Unsplash.com，图表来自 TradingView.com，CryptoQuant.com
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