Polymarket

该州发布的停止令对基于区块链的平台提出挑战

Polymarket拒绝支付超过1050万美元的赌注，理由是美国抓捕委内瑞拉总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗的行动不符合其对"入侵"的定义。交易者对此感到愤怒，认为该行动显然构成入侵。同时，平台上可能存在内幕交易的担忧也引发关注。

一小群新创建的 Polymarket 钱包在美国出人意料的军事行动确认结果前不久，通过押注委内瑞拉总统下台，赚取了超过 63 万美元。这一时机引发了对内幕交易的担忧，并促使美国立法者着手禁止政府官员在预测市场上进行交易。

按交易量计算，Kalshi 已超过 Polymarket 成为全球最大的预测市场，每周交易额达 23 亿美元，创造了新的行业纪录。

Coinbase is preparing to enter the fast-rising prediction markets sector, according to new findings from tech researcher Jane Manchun Wong, who uncovered an unreleased Coinbase-branded prediction platform hidden in the company’s public source code.

Yahoo Finance has partnered with Polymarket to add real-time prediction market data to its website. This allows users to see crowd-sourced probabilities for political, economic, and financial events alongside traditional market information.

Prediction markets, once confined to a small circle of crypto-savvy insiders, are rapidly entering the mainstream. Now, Gemini — one of the most tightly regulated exchanges in the U.S. — is preparing to stake its claim in this emerging sector.

Romania has officially joined the list of countries to have blacklisted Polymarket, comparing the comparison between leading crypto prediction platform with an unlicensed gambling operator running outside government oversight.

Trump Media’s social media platform Truth Social is partnering with Crypto.com to release its own prediction feature called “Truth Predict.” This move positions Truth Social as the first publicly traded social media network to integrate event-based trading directly into its ecosystem.

A sweeping FBI crackdown that led to the arrest of an NBA player and coach last week has sent shockwaves through both the sports and financial worlds, reigniting fears that the booming prediction market sector could become the next major regulatory crisis.