Gallup poll: Two-thirds of Americans expect stock market to rise in 2025 as tensions rise at home and abroad

A survey conducted by management consulting firm Gallup shows that two-thirds of Americans surveyed expect the stock market to rise in 2025, but about the same proportion of respondents expect the stock market rise to be accompanied by increased domestic political conflict in the United States and international discord. Specifically, 66% of respondents expect the stock market to rise in 2025, 30 percentage points higher than the forecast for 2023 in December 2022, when high inflation and low economic confidence were in the air. The survey also showed that only 23% of Americans surveyed expected "positive" political cooperation in the United States under the Trump administration, while only 32% predicted that there would be more peace internationally in 2025. However, these data are an improvement over the polls for political cooperation and international peace in 2023 (9% and 14%). The analysis pointed out that this sentiment may have an impact on the cryptocurrency market. History shows that sustained stock market gains sometimes coincide with Bitcoin gains as investors show enthusiasm for taking more risks. Data from Bitcoin analytics platform Newhedge shows that Bitcoin has an erratic correlation with the S&P 500, although some industry executives have noted that Bitcoin's price action is more closely tied to technology stocks. (Cointelegraph)