Author: shushu; Source: BlockBeats
Meme coins seem to have ushered in a new round of hype in this cycle.
At the end of last year, memes such as MYRO, SILLY, and WIF set off the first wave of Solana meme fever in this cycle; the second wave of meme fever originated from the meme pre-sale wave launched by BOME and SLERF in March this year. Since then, the voices condemning VC coins have gradually spread, and more and more meme coins have been listed on CEX, gradually gaining greater acceptance; with the bull market turning into a bear market, altcoins generally performed poorly, and meme trading tools led by Pump.Fun further promoted the meme fever by upgrading infrastructure, prompting the third wave of meme boom. After the so-called September curse, the crypto market has ushered in a new wave of trading craze, and new Internet celebrity animals have become the top meme streamers. But recently, abstract art has returned to the market, bringing a new wave of meme hype.
The market value changes of meme coins in the past year, source: CoinMarketCap
Yesterday, the chain detective ZachXBT disclosed the wallet address of the shouting master Murad Mahmudov. This revelation quickly sparked heated discussions in the crypto community-should a crypto user who has not been accused of a crime be so "human flesh"? The reason given by ZachXBT is that people should make smarter decisions about the tokens they buy, rather than just following KOLs with a large number of fans.
Murad, the meme coin KOL who has become popular recently, has completely become popular in the crypto circle with his speech on the meme coin super cycle at the TOKEN2049 conference. He once boldly predicted that Bitcoin would reach 10 million US dollars. Now he is considered to be the next generation of top stream after meme master Ansem. The reason why he can inherit the mantle is that Murad's shouting is very effective.
In the Murad address disclosed by ZachXBT, he holds three meme coins such as SPX, APU, and MINI. On Twitter, Murad also made a list of the above three meme coins. In addition, there are old meme coins such as MOG, POPCAT, and GIGA on the list, all of which have gained considerable gains recently. And these meme coins that Murad shouted have a common feature, that is, they all have some cult temperament.
Cult refers to a highly focused and fanatical following culture, in which fans show extreme enthusiasm and loyalty to a specific thing, such as a person, brand, concept or work. This cultural phenomenon usually revolves around a small but influential group, which distinguishes itself from mainstream culture through common beliefs, behaviors or interests. In the field of encryption, what is Cult meme and why should we promote Cult meme? Perhaps it all starts with Murad.
From Bitcoin supremacy to the godfather of Cult meme, who is Murad?
If you search for Murad Mahmudov on Google, in addition to the recently popular speech "Meme Coin Super Cycle", there are interviews and articles about Bitcoin by Murad before 2022 - "The Ultimate Argument for Bitcoin", "The Past and Future of Bitcoin", etc. From the title, you can see that he is a pure Bitcoin supremacist.
Murad graduated from Princeton University and went to China for an exchange in 2013. Here he met an American in the Beijing foreign circle - the fifth employee of OK Coin. Through this friend, Murad learned about cryptocurrency and began his crypto journey.
But before 2016, Murad did not devote himself to the crypto field full-time, but worked in traditional financial institutions such as Goldman Sachs and Glencore. After resigning, Murad became a Bitcoin Maxi. Since 2017, Murad has done a lot in the crypto space, writing on-chain analysis articles, doing trading investments, and participating in the development of DeFi. In 2018, Murad founded a community of tens of thousands of people and was once considered one of the leading Bitcoin analysts. His portfolio grew fivefold in just seven months.
In 2019, Murad founded a fund called Adaptive Capital, but the good times did not last long. When the March 12 crash in 2020 occurred, the fund was unable to respond appropriately to the sell-off due to "lack of infrastructure", and Adaptive Capital had to declare bankruptcy. After Adaptive collapsed, Murad continued to invest in Bitcoin and startups, but became less active on social media.
In 2022, Murad announced his return to social media and regained his passion for encryption. But it was not until this year that Murad found the main task of the new cycle, looking for the real Cult meme. In an interview, he said, "In early 2024, I began to try to understand meme coins from the perspective of first principles." In June, Murad began to share his meme trading philosophy and targets in the community.
Murad's appearance has also changed from a short-haired and slightly shy financial man to an anti-mainstream image with long hair and a beard, which is consistent with the Cult culture it promotes, at least it is not mainstream.
Cult list, how does Murad hype memes?
From June 25 to September 13, Murad gradually filled up this list of cult memes that he believes will explode in the next meme super cycle.
With Murad's popularity, this list has become a new trading bible. Led by SPX, the market value has risen from 20 million US dollars in July to more than 600 million US dollars. Many people imitate this format to list their own lists.
Why did Murad choose these meme coins? In the interview, he summarized the screening criteria for meme coins as follows: · Focus on medium-sized market capitalization currencies between 5 million and 200 million US dollars; · Tend to Solana and Ethereum, and exclude Base, Ton, and Sui, because whales will park their wealth on the former two; "These chains are like large bank accounts. Once they truly understand that meme coins will dominate the altcoin market in this cycle, the flow of funds will be very rapid. · Projects with at least six months of history; "Time cannot be forged and represents a real commitment. Assuming that each of us has a lifespan of 80 years, time itself is a very serious resource investment." style="text-align: left;">Murad spent six to seven months using Twitter and Telegram accounts to enter the Discord and Telegram groups of various meme coins to understand the atmosphere, culture, and what group members are talking about. "Investing in memes is actually investing in people." Murad believes that Cult will become the next big trend. By studying indicators such as on-chain data, market value, holder distribution, degree of decentralization, and avoiding leading derivative coins, political coins, celebrity coins, most animal coins, newly launched popular coins, and KOL shouting coins, he screened out the Cult meme mentioned above.
Murad's screening criteria are simply to select tokens that have existed for at least six months and have experienced at least two 70% plunges.
Today's meme coin market has been divided into different levels. Large-scale funds may choose to buy blue-chip meme coins with a high market value and the potential to double. On the other hand, some investors will gamble on platforms such as Pump.Fun, hoping to turn 2 SOL into 20 SOL.
Murad believes that he is in the middle of the two, focusing on finding undervalued meme coins that meet most of his screening criteria. These projects may have only one or two indicators that have not yet met the standards, but they are easy to improve, have extremely enthusiastic community support, and are relatively cheap. Murad calls this strategy the "Price and Belief Index", and believes that investors should look for projects where belief is extremely high but the price is still low.
Super cycle of meme coins
The "Price and Belief Index" is usually only applicable to meme coins, because the success of Pump.Fun and Polymarket tells us that good crypto products do not necessarily need tokens, and Murad believes that the best tokens do not need products, such as PEPE and WIF. The counterexample may be those meme coins that are doing things seriously.
But the absence of products does not mean that they are useless. Murad believes that the best meme coins have more functions than almost all altcoins. They provide fun, reduce loneliness, and identity recognition - achieving the goals that DAO was supposed to achieve, bringing resonance, emotional connection, a sense of mission and meaning, entertainment and happiness, and even promoting charity, story creation and legend building.
Murad's speech, source: YouTube
In his speech at TOKEN2049, Murad pushed the argument that meme coins will subvert VC coins and even all altcoins to the extreme. The core of the meme coin super cycle he mentioned is that people in the market are gradually realizing that meme coins are stealing meme attributes and speculative premiums from value coins. "Any crypto asset that does not distribute cash flow to your wallet or is not used as a store of value is essentially a meme coin. 99.999% of altcoins are just meme coins plus more steps."
As for how to measure the changes brought about by this 20-minute speech, on the one hand, the cult memes that Murad “called out” have indeed risen a lot, and on the other hand, it has leveraged many people who were not keen on meme trading before, and even influenced some institutional VCs, who said they would put meme coins into their investment portfolios.
It is enough to see that Murad has injected new vitality into the meme coin market, thanks to his mature and systematic understanding and screening criteria of memes, and perhaps also due to his trading and analysis experience in the field of Bitcoin in previous years. However, why did Murad change from Bitcoin supremacism to the meme godfather who now cheers for Cult?
The ultimate vision of meme philosophy
To understand Murad's meme philosophy, perhaps we have to start from the origin of Bitcoin.
As a crypto OG who has been exposed to Bitcoin since 2013, Murad has grown up with Bitcoin and the Bitcoin community culture. A large number of blogs, books and literary works of Bitcoin supremacists about Bitcoin provide Murad with a perfect foundation for understanding and studying meme coins.
Murad believes that the rise of meme coins is a byproduct of the cryptocurrency industrial system, which itself is a byproduct of the fiat currency system, so the existence and emergence of meme coins are driven by external forces, which is similar to the fact that Bitcoin was inspired by the economic crisis - the monetary system is collapsing, but Bitcoin and meme coins are completely opposite in form, like the two ends of a horseshoe.
On the one hand, the crisis pushes people to turn to a more robust alternative, namely Bitcoin. On the other hand, the collapse of the fiat currency system will also push people towards speculative behavior, which is particularly evident in times of inflation, when everyone's money cannot be preserved, so people will choose to take risks and gamble.
This structural reason prompted Murad to believe that meme coins will have the same extreme cultural effects as Bitcoin, which can almost be regarded as a new type of religious fanaticism, and their holders will also show this fanaticism.
This is the fundamental reason why Murad advocates Cult meme, and the list of books given by Murad also proves this point. His meme research materials include "The Future of Religion and the Religion of the Future", "American Gods", "No Anti-Meme Department", "Spectacle Society", etc. The research conducted in these books is about the evolution of faith and ideology, cultural and social dynamics, and information dissemination mechanisms. It is helpful for understanding the nature of meme, its dissemination mechanism, and its profound impact on individuals and society.
List of meme research books recommended by Murad, source: X
After being influenced by these books, some of Murad's tweets have become similar to Nawal's, using short and sharp sentences to share some meme-related philosophies.
"The key to finding undervalued meme coins is emotion, they need to make you feel something."
"The lower the global fertility rate, the higher the market value of Cult memes will be, because children give people meaning in life, and if fewer and fewer people have children, they will look for meaning elsewhere."
"Excess money supply + excessive loneliness + scarcity of meaning = funds flow to over-speculative assets. Since there is "more money" and "more loneliness" in the system than four years ago, assets need to be more speculative than assets in 2021."
"The additional service that Cult memes provide compared to ordinary memes is a higher sense of relative security. This security comes down to community cohesion and the personalities of the top 300 most active members, which permeate the overall culture and atmosphere of the meme."
In Murad's view, meme is not a track, but a culture and attribute. In an abstract sense, meme is about meaning, while Cult meme has a more grand imagination.
Becoming the next religion
If you answer more directly what Cult meme is, Murad's answer is that a group of people get together extremely fanatically for a certain reason. "The ultimate dream of meme coin is to become the next religion, so you have to hang out in their Discord, Telegram and social spaces to see how big the Cult, passion and religious atmosphere of that community is."
Extreme fanaticism is the characteristic of religion. In essence, religion can provide a variety of different things to the audience. For some people, religion provides a community, for some people, it provides guidance, and for others, religion provides an object of faith and a sense of belonging, a sense of transcendence. Of course, religion also provides some lifestyle advice, answers to some very difficult questions about existence, and so on. And all of these can be done by the future Cult meme.
If cryptocurrency is a religion, it is a religion centered on currency, finance, and commercial revolution. The gods here are replaceable, the narrative is flexible, and financial expectations are scalable. Cryptocurrency replaces "we believe in God" with "we believe in our currency."
Matti of Zee Prime Capital believes that meme coins themselves are just a social game of ups and downs, a new form of lottery, vaguely associated with the grasp of the spirit of the times. But meme coins still have a broader space. The current form of meme coins is still very rudimentary because they do not focus on sustainability, but pursue rapid pull-ups and shipments, and price increases have become the most effective marketing tool.
However, future meme coins can go beyond this, and price increases are only a means to achieve a greater goal-meme coins are not only a carrier of culture, but also carry distribution functions, so that they do not just stay at the level of funny memes, but are closely integrated with lifestyle products to form a real cultural phenomenon.