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Can the CPI at 8:30 tonight help complete the task that the non-farm data failed to complete?

The US non-farm data in July was worse than expected. Is the risk of potential economic recession overestimated?

The August non-farm payrolls report to be released tonight may be one of the most important US non-farm reports in many years. This report will not only "finalize" the Federal Reserve's September interest rate decision, but also provide key clues as to whether the world's largest economy is entering a recession.

Investors are now focusing on a speech by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Monday and nonfarm payrolls data on Friday, both of which have the potential to move markets.

There are continuous good news for U.S. stocks and A-shares, AI momentum is strong, and the entire cycle of Web3 is still in a bull market cycle.

In general, the core reason for this round of decline is that the "rebound was less than expected" in the US non-farm payrolls data, which to some extent triggered market concerns about a US recession. In essence, it was due to the release of Nvidia's second-quarter financial report, which led to a drop in performance.

Markets expect the Fed to cut interest rates by more than two percentage points over the next 12 months, which would be the biggest reduction outside of an economic downturn since the 1980s. The first big test comes on Friday.